S&P 500 ran with CS relief that had something for both bail-out and bail-in proponents, disregarding further KRE weakness outdoing XLF, as tech continues attracting fine bid no matter what yields are doing. Together with general bond market underperformance, this is building up non-confirmations and vulnerability to any hawkish Powell statements tomorrow.
Stocks in their daily risk-on turn are willing to run with the current moves as being enough to maintain and restore confidence. Even if the banks don‘t need to compete for deposits, and didn‘t hedge the rising rates totally, stocks are disregarding that for now.
Q4 2022 hedge fund letters, conferences and more
The picture is though still of the dust not really settled, and S&P 500 continuing trading in a relatively wide range above Oct lows. The daily outlook thus far confirms uneasy session ahead for the bears (continued pain), with bond yields and the dollar being the key determinants of risk sentiment ahead as much as copper with silver (if I had to pick only two).
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Let‘s move right into the charts (all courtesy of www.stockcharts.com).
Gold, Silver and Miners
Precious metals do remain in vogue, and I‘m not looking for any kind of a powerful feedback. If we see 25bp tomorrow with some hawkish language on readiness, and not too much banking / deposits fights, gold followed by silver would keep their own. Consider pullback below $1,950 a gift (may come before FOMC as almost usual) - this is the main star of 2023.
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All essays, research and information represent analyses and opinions of Monica Kingsley that are based on available and latest data. Despite careful research and best efforts, it may prove wrong and be subject to change with or without notice.
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